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Final Oscar Predictions: International Feature — Brazil and Norway Face Off in One of the Toughest Races to Call

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages ref

EntertainmentBy Christopher BlakeMarch 9, 20261 min read

Last updated: April 1, 2026, 9:54 AM

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Final Oscar Predictions: International Feature — Brazil and Norway Face Off in One of the Toughest Races to Call

Final Oscar Predictions: International Feature — Brazil and Norway Face Off in One of the Toughest Races to Call

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Oscars Best International Feature Commentary (Updated March 9, 2026): More to come…

Final predictions are below. Each category will be updated throughout the week leading up to the 98th Oscars, set for Sunday, March 15, and hosted by Conan O’Brien.

Will Win: “Sentimental Value”Could Win: “The Secret Agent”Should Win: “The Secret Agent” Should Have Been Nominated: “Belén” from Argentina (Amazon MGM Studios) and “The President’s Cake” from Iraq (Sony Pictures Classics)

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Christopher Blake

Entertainment Editor

Christopher Blake covers Hollywood, streaming, and the entertainment industry for the Journal American. With 12 years covering the entertainment beat, he has interviewed hundreds of filmmakers, actors, and studio executives. His coverage of the streaming wars and box office trends is widely read.

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