The PGA Florida Swing continues on Thursday with the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club and Lodge. The Signature Event status for this tournament brings virtually all of the PGA's top players back after most sat out last week's Cognizant Classic. The top-10 players in the Official World Golf Ranking are all in the field, and it's Scottie Scheffler who is atop the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds board at FanDuel Sportsbook.
He's the +340 favorite (risk $100 to win $340), followed by Rory McIlroy at +1000. Tommy Fleetwood (+1900), Matt Fitzpatrick (+2500) and Xander Schauffele (+2500) are among the other 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational favorites. Before locking in any 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, entering any Arnold Palmer Invitational one and done contests, or making any PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters -- its fourth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites.
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Now that the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational field is locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or golf DFS lineups.
One major surprise the model is calling for at the API 2026: Schauffele, one of the top favorites and a two-time major winner, barely cracks the top 10 of the projected leaderboard. He's a golfer to fade. The 32-year-old finished T7 at the Genesis Invitational last time out, but otherwise has finished T19 or worse in every other tournament this year. He's never finished in the top 20 of this tournament and was T40 after barely making the cut at this event last year. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: The model says Si Woo Kim makes a strong run at the title, even though he's a +3300 longshot. Kim has cooled a bit in his past two events, but he opened the season with four straight finishes of T11 or better, including a T2 at the Farmers Insurance Open and a T3 at the WM Phoenix Open. See who else to pick here.
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How to make 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks
The model is also says three other golfers going off at +3000 or higher will make a run at the top spot on the leaderboard. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, and which massive longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, favorites
Get full 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, best bets and predictions here. (odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +340Rory McIlroy +1000Tommy Fleetwood +1900Matt Fitzpatrick +2500Xander Schauffele +2500Russell Henley +2700Collin Morikawa +2700Hideki Matsuyama +3000Si Woo Kim +3300Robert MacIntyre +3300Patrick Cantlay +3300Cameron Young +3300Harris English +3500Ben Griffin +4000Rickie Fowler +4000Sam Burns +4000Chris Gotterup +4000Kurt Kitayama +4000Ludvig Åberg +4000Jake Knapp +4000Viktor Hovland +4000Justin Rose +4500Maverick McNealy +4500Adam Scott +4500Shane Lowry +4500Jason Day +5000Min Woo Lee +5000Justin Thomas +5500Jordan Spieth +5500Keegan Bradley +5500Pierceson Coody +5500Jacob Bridgeman +6000Akshay Bhatia +6000Sepp Straka +6000Alex Noren +6000J.J. Spaun +6000Nicolai Højgaard +7000Nico Echavarria +7000Ryan Gerard +7000Nick Taylor +7000Harry Hall +7000Michael Thorbjornsen +7500Corey Conners +7500Max Greyserman +8000Taylor Pendrith +8000Ryan Fox +8000Samuel Stevens +8000Sahith Theegala +10000J.T. Poston +10000Denny McCarthy +10000Matt McCarty +10000Daniel Berger +10000Sungjae Im +10000Keith Mitchell +10000
